May 6, 2026
What if the number your team is betting on is the very thing setting you up to fail? In this episode of The Valley Current®, Jack Russo breaks down Stanford professor Sam Savage’s Chance-O-Meter, a tool designed to replace misleading point estimates with real probability. Instead of “this project will take six weeks,” leaders see the truth: maybe just a 6% chance it actually does . Powered by Monte Carlo simulations, the platform turns forecasts into dynamic distributions, reshaping decisions across finance, operations, and legal risk. The result is a shift from false precision to informed judgment, and a new question every executive must confront: are you managing outcomes, or just guessing with confidence?
Jack Russo
Managing Partner
https://www.linkedin.com/in/jackrusso
"Every Entrepreneur Imagines a Better World"®️